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Week 14: Previewing key NFL matchups, fantasy football and Greenline

That is the most by any running back this year.
If he gets one per game the rest of the season, he will have the most for any back in a season in the last 13 years.
32 fantasy matchup for running backs.
Fantasy Stats to Know: The No.
He’s a back-end RB1 in fantasy this week.
Related Articles: Key NFL Matchup/Stat: Patrick Peterson has allowed 80 or fewer receiving yards in each of his last 67 games dating back to 2014, which is the longest streak we’ve seen from a defensive player in the 13 years we have data for.
He’s only allowed more than two catches in his coverage once over the last six games, and opposing receivers are seeing an average of just 3.8 targets per game against Peterson.
In the five weeks since joining the team, Cooper is eight among wide receivers in fantasy points, thanks in part to three touchdowns over that span.
Fantasy Stats to Know: Russell Wilson was fantasy’s top quarterback last year, but things haven’t quite gone as well in 2018.
Wilson draws a brutal matchup against a Vikings defense that has allowed just five passing scores over their last seven games, with opposing quarterbacks averaging just 212 passing yards per game over that stretch.

Pro Football Focus’ Preview Team has come together to provide every fan with the right information to best prepare and enjoy Week 14 in the NFL. We offer advanced stats on key NFL matchups, fantasy advice and a Greenline perspective for all the weekend’s games and Monday Night Football.

Key NFL Matchup/Stat:

Since the start of the 2016 season, Landon Collins has 71 run stops, which is 21 more than any other safety in that time.

Fantasy Stats to Know:

Josh Norman was once a name that struck fear in fantasy players any time their receivers had to face him. While we do expect a shadow from Norman on Odell Beckham this week, it isn’t something to get too worked up over. Norman is allowing 71 percent of his targets to be caught with five touchdowns in his coverage this season.

Key NFL Matchup/Stat

Blake Martinez has 19 stops on pass plays, which is the most for all linebackers this season.

Fantasy Stats to Know:

We don’t know how much will change for the Packers with the interim regime in place, but we do know that Aaron Jones is a plus play this week. The Falcons have struggled against the run for much of the season, and opposing backfields have topped 100 rushing yards against Atlanta in each of the last four games.

Key NFL Matchup/Stat:

Michael Thomas has a catch rate of 86.7%. That is over 5% more than any other wide receiver in a season over the past decade with 100 or more targets.

Fantasy Stats to Know:

Opposing quarterbacks have targeted Eli Apple 76 times this season, which is sixth among corners. Apple has especially struggled over the last two weeks with 15 catches on 20 targets in his coverage. Who does that benefit for the Bucs? Chris Godwin. Look for Godwin to have another solid week of production. He’s in the WR2 conversation.

Key NFL Matchup/Stat:

When the Panthers are in the red zone, Cam Newton has an adjusted completion percentage of 84.8%, which is the best for all quarterbacks this season.

Fantasy Stats to Know:

The popular narrative this week is that the Panthers have struggled against the pass, which is good for Baker Mayfield. But look a little closer. Over the last three weeks, Carolina is allowing an average of 269 yards and 1.7 touchdowns through the air. While those numbers aren’t shut-down, they’re still not enough to justify starting Mayfield over many of your every-week fantasy starters at quarterback.

Related Articles:

Key NFL Matchup/Stat:

Anthony Walker has 29 run stops, which is tied for second-most among all linebackers. Teammate Darius Leonard is one of the players he is tied with.

Fantasy Stats to Know:

This isn’t the week to be an Andrew Luck owner. While Luck has largely exceeded fantasy expectations this season, he’s running into a buzz saw in the first round of the fantasy playoffs. Houston has allowed more than one touchdown pass just once since Week 5.

Greenline/Predictive Analysis:

Our model likes the Colts here, fading the one-week blip that was the Colts’ 6-0 loss in Jacksonville and the noise that was a multiple-score win for Houston in a game where they allowed over nine yards per pass attempt to Baker Mayfield and the Browns.

Related Articles:

Key NFL Matchup/Stat:

James White has 36 catches on second down. That is the most by any running back this year. If he gets one per game the rest of the season, he will have the most for any back in a season in the last 13 years.

Fantasy Stats to Know:

DeVante Parker flashed upside last week with a touchdown against the Bills. While this uptick is encouraging, it’s wise to keep him on the bench this week. Parker will likely draw a shadow from Stephon Gilmore, who has been excellent this season. Gilmore has allowed just 47 percent of his targets to be caught.

Greenline/Predictive Analysis:

While the Patriots haven’t even been 0.500 in Miami during Brady’s tenure, we like them to cover this week, as the Patriots appear to be hitting their stride, while Ryan Tannehill is leading all quarterbacks in turnover-worthy play rate and will likely be without their best cornerback.

Key NFL Matchup/Stat:

Mitchell Schwartz has allowed pressure on 2.5% of pass blocks this season. That is the lowest rate for a right tackle in the last decade.

Fantasy Stats to Know:

While Spencer Ware didn’t…

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